Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 178.346012 211.492877 252.020877 306.226863 378.447186 473.862496 6.140459e+02
2025-01-26 141.859985 183.456351 241.462164 332.394765 480.230221 730.721177 1.244237e+03
2025-02-02 127.607161 175.547070 249.239931 380.448041 634.866623 1189.082032 2.901631e+03
2025-02-09 108.798934 155.120524 230.568925 376.093972 694.145937 1533.189595 5.347206e+03
2025-02-16 97.019263 142.614915 220.720130 382.714161 780.068733 2066.210283 1.192377e+04
2025-02-23 87.452463 131.716676 210.699303 384.803161 857.933626 2731.441836 3.183455e+04
2025-03-02 80.368545 123.738100 204.075445 391.678547 956.378420 3755.507214 1.605291e+05
2025-03-09 74.438139 116.811027 197.922875 397.466522 1059.470351 5234.554359 2.075135e+07
2025-03-16 67.936242 107.930410 186.150905 385.410733 1092.944543 6477.454365 NaN
2025-03-23 65.276139 105.825969 188.012905 410.184723 1300.946686 11301.819425 NaN
2025-03-30 59.836463 97.741677 175.605634 390.949005 1297.484889 13492.024980 NaN
2025-04-06 56.596017 93.594584 171.290748 394.521655 1416.967404 21086.340639 NaN
2025-04-13 52.630684 87.956280 163.558729 388.151362 1499.199928 33190.859349 NaN
2025-04-20 51.322753 87.578158 168.179405 424.693400 1927.597181 155928.350406 NaN
2025-04-27 51.326679 89.885139 179.829878 493.287868 2847.493430 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 48.204016 85.125805 172.617124 487.012439 3074.512047 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 45.995088 82.113923 169.483894 496.557278 3559.974833 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 43.787768 78.870456 165.183026 499.574627 4014.652610 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 41.999454 76.384871 162.568623 509.523855 4695.081274 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 40.320325 73.980674 159.798827 517.921315 5478.855414 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 38.110438 70.161110 152.410360 500.452694 5600.994210 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 37.399818 69.766474 154.996520 536.442902 7673.211546 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 35.266512 65.836960 146.457534 508.466814 7386.392118 NaN NaN